Wow! The Ohio Valley, the Upper Mississippi Valley, Texas, and the Arkansas River Basins are all getting hammered with water. Watch out New Orleans.
Ike, all of Ike, all of this storm is being tweaked. This entire storm is manufactured. I'll have a photo essay up later in the morning.
This is Katrina done all over again.
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September 13, 2008 1pm Mountain
Ike, Day +1
Ike has come ashore at Galveston Bay and is behaving largely as I anticipated. Ike continues to maintain hurricane status some 10 hours after landfall, as I expected, due to that massive amount of energy that remains ‘off the deck' thus reducing the friction/interaction with the ground which would spin Ike down in a more typical fashion. This results in more wind sponsored damage farther along Ike's inland path. But results in less damage at landfall...
I am anxious to get a preliminary report concerning the state of the refineries and the damage that was, or was not, inflicted by the storm surge and the hours of hurricane force winds they were subjected to.
Because there is so much angular momentum preserved after Ike's landfall, tornados will likely be experienced in greater numbers than is usually expected.
Rain... Oh my god the rain that has yet to fall, pond, and stream its way back to the Gulf may yet be the lasting story of Ike for those that were not right under Ike's massive center of circulation.
Continuous manipulation of the saturated cold frontal system, into which Ike is now headed, has resulted in flooding from west Texas to Indiana and Ohio. Soon, Ike's copious waters will join that record rainfall which has already fallen in these water sheds resulting in stream flows that are already at or above capacity. An estimated 95% of all this recent rain water will flow through one city, New Orleans. Heads -up for this second ‘surge' of water returning to the Gulf next week!
I am watching them tweak the remnants of Josephine presently.
Scott,
Excellent IKE observations.
Also, can you please comment on what you make of the feature that formed a large straight-line area of convection located about 300 miles to the southeast of the center of the storm most all day on Friday?
Description of feature:
I only saw a few sketchy Weather Channel infrared imagery loops while at the bar Friday afternoon about 3pm CST, mid afternoon yesterday (Friday), and from the looks of it, there was a persistent straight-line bar of moderate convection that persisted for many hours. It was located roughly 300 miles to the south-southeast of the center of the storm. It moved along with the storm, staying in the exact position, both in terms of relative motion and heading direction of the storm, which was moving to the Northwest at a heading of about 295 degrees, for at least 4 or 5 hours of loop that I saw. It formed a perfectly straight line of convection, moderate in strength. It appeared to be roughly 500-600 miles in length, and remained about 60 - 70 miles wide as it traveled along with the storm in a northwest direction, all the while maintaining perfect orientation to the storm. (Similar to the orientation of this slash mark here "/")
It seemed to me that this perfectly straight line area of moderate convection had the effect of dampening the strength of the storm, like they were winding it down a notch or two prior to its approach to the TX coast.
Please post reply on your website what your opinion is on this particular feature, and what to you was their intended effect on IKE.
This was not a line of stationary thunderstorms but a cirrus shield. This was possibly necessary to quick start the necessary outflow component to the central core of this storm resulting in the six hours of strengthening we saw just prior to landfall. RIGHT CLICK TO SEE/DOWNLOAD IMAGES
From the NHC:
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 12 2008
A PLETHORA OF DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS...NOAA AND AIR
FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALL INDICATE
THAT THE STRUCTURE OF IKE HAS IMPROVED MARKEDLY OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS...AND A 40 NMI DIAMETER EYE HAS BECOME PROMINENT. THE LOWEST
PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECON HAS BEEN 952 MB. DOPPLER RADAR
VELOCITIES IN THE NORTHERN EYEWALL AT 6500 FT HAVE BEEN AS HIGH AS
114 KT...AND A DROPSONDE IN THAT SAME AREA MEASURED A PEAK WIND
VALUE OF 116 KT. MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS AT 700 MB HAVE RANGED
FROM 103-105 KT...AND A RELIABLE SFMR SURFACE WIND SPEED OF 90 KT
WAS MEASURED IN THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL AROUND 0140Z. ALL OF THIS
INFORMATION CORRESPONDS TO A MAXIMUM SURFACE WIND SPEED ESTIMATE OF
95 KT.
THE LARGE EYE OF IKE HAS BEEN WOBBLING CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS...BUT A GENERAL MOTION OF 315/10 SEEMS TO HAVE BEEN THE
PREFERRED DIRECTION OF TRAVEL. SHORT TERM EXTRAPOLATION WOULD PLACE
THE CENTER OF IKE ALONG GALVESTON ISLAND AND/OR THE UPPER-TEXAS COAST SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE SATURDAY MORNING.
The ‘large eye wobbling' is due to the constant adjustment of the node/anode configuration at the eye of this storm. A beautiful pair of anodes signaled that the weather makers were on the job late last night guiding Ike into Houston, right on its intended target.
Nodes being localized areas of low pressure (up-drafts) in the atmosphere and a matching anode being a small but intense region of high pressure where the skies are cleared out from the locally sinking and sharply defined column of air. For more info see the May 25, 2008 post "A New Sound in Weather" and also the post "Cymatics."
All, and I do mean all, of the storminess over the Corn Belt was prompted to fill the rivers and streams before the remains of Ike arrive. This satellite shot from 2225Z/3:25pm CDT 12 Sept 2008 show many chemtrail straight line marks across the cloud shield from Colorado to the Virginias. Iowa is particularly marked up with numerous sets of nodes/anodes resulting in gravity waves propagating and stimulating heavy rainfall there.
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